A flat, zonal flow has developed for the southern half of the state. Weak disturbances are riding along this flow from west to east over the Aleutians and the Gulf of Alaska. These are not storms to be concerned with. Winds will generally be light, as will the snowfall. 1 to 3 inches is possible for areas of Southeast and Southcentral. However, many locations will get less than an inch. Warmer temps and rain is the threat for the southern Panhandle today.
Tattered snow showers are likely over the Aleutians and Bristol Bay region. Most of the snow will be light. A little light snow could make its way into the Middle Kuskokwim and Yukon valleys. Flurries can be expected for the eastern Interior.
Very, very cold weather will remain bottled up over the northern half of the state. Highs will range from 20 to 50 below with wind chills down to 70 below near and in the Brooks Range. The cold will remain through the work week.
A big change is coming mid week. An upper trough will dig over the Bering tomorrow and along the the base of the trough, lows will strengthen. While there is some uncertainty as to the strength and path of our next big storm, it is likely that it will develop south of the state, move north toward Kodiak Island, and finally into Southcentral by Wednesday. Winds through Turnagain Arm could be up near 80 to 90 mph and snow are rain will become heavy for much of southern Alaska.
We will keep you updated in the coming hours and days as this warm and potent storm takes shape.
